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Defence Technology
CIO Bulletin
16 June, 2025
The Israel-Iran war has become one of the most hazardous war conflicts in the history of the Middle East. Airstrikes that were intended to eliminate specific targets have now developed into a full-scale confrontation, and both countries engage in direct missile strikes, attempt to destroy strategic infrastructures, and kill a lot of people, much to the displeasure of the global community. The world community is observing with an increasing sense of alarm the diplomatic maneuvering that is failing to restrain a war that can lead to the destabilization of the entire region.
Origins of the Current Conflict
The immediate cause of the current escalation was what happened on June 13, 2025 when Israel initiated a surprise military operation against the nuclear facilities of Iran. The attacks affecting important targets in Natanz and Isfahan were termed by Israeli leaders as a self-defense move to destroy the nuclear installations in Iran. Some of the victims included top Iranian military officials such as General Hossein Salami, commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, and General Mohammad Bagheri, chief of staff of Iran.
The Israel-Iran war took a swift and severe was the reaction of Iran as June 14 saw Tehran firing off a huge salvo of missiles at Israeli urban areas, hitting the Galilee area and killing at least four civilians in an apartment block. Israel fought back by launching other airstrikes and this time they focused on the Defense Ministry buildings and other facilities associated with the ballistic missile capabilities in Iran. The trade has since escalated into a continuous bout of counter-attacks with no entity seen to relent yet.
Military Developments and Strategic Strikes
The direct involvement between the two countries in what is known as the Israel-Iran war has been unprecedented in view of the long shadow war engaged in by the two countries using proxies.
Initial attacks of Israel-Iran war were very organized where air raids were conducted along with secret work. It was reported that Mossad, which is Israel's intelligence agency had placed drones well before their time in Iran so they can have precise target drone attacks on strategic Iranian military bases. The mission was able to kill nine top Iranian nuclear scientists as well as seriously destroy the uranium enrichment plants in Natanz and Fordow.
It has turned out that the Israeli Defense Forces have broadened the offensive to bombing the Iranian ballistic missile productions and oil refineries, and last week there was a big attack on the South Pars gas field, which happens to be the largest natural gas reserve around the globe. These attacks have dented Iran's energy exports, which are already struggling since the imposition of the sanctions on the economy.
Iran has used its missile system of attack, with both ballistic projectiles and drone fleets, in the form of counteroffensive moves. Although the Iron Dome and Arrow missile shields of Israel shot down most projectiles, some missiles bypassed the shields injuring civilians in the cities of Haifa and Tel Aviv.
Iran has also set in motion its proxies in the region with Hezbollah in Lebanon and the Houthis in Yemen targeting Israeli holdings. Also, there is the threat of further escalation by the Revolutionary Guard Corps of Iran that any Israeli attack on Iranian territory will be responded to with excessive violence.
Humanitarian and Civilian Impact
The Israel-Iran war has already caused major loss of lives and displacement. Iran has been hit with least 230 people being killed made up of both military and conventional citizens as well as a wide destruction that included both nuclear and industrial infrastructure. In Israel, 18 have been killed, predominantly civilians trapped by being in missile attacks, houses devastated in Galilee and Bat Yam. The governments have been desperately trying to rescue thousands of Indian, Nepalese, and other foreign students stuck in Iran through land routes because of the shut-down of airspace.
Assault on the South Pars gas field of Iran has brought disturbance to global energy supply leading to the steep rise of oil prices. Transit of various cargos through the Persian Gulf and the Red Sea becomes more risky and the underwriters have asked the maritime vessels to pay higher premiums in case they transiting through conflict zones.
International Diplomatic Responses
The Israel-Iran war has become more intense with other world powers reacting harshly, and the mediation to resolve the conflict has not been successful.
The president of the US, Donald Trump has gone on record supporting the strikes that Israel initiated because it was necessary to avoid having a nuclear Iran. But he has also called on both parties not to increase the escalation. The European Union's foreign ministers have scheduled an urgent meeting to discuss potential sanctions and peace measures. France has criticized missile attacks by Iran as they demanded restraint on the part of Israel.
Russia, who has a relationship with both Israel and Iran, has expressed a willingness to mediate, though Western countries are suspicious. China has demanded an instant ceasefire, threatening a wider economic unsteadiness. Pakistan and Turkey have criticized the actions of Israel, with Pakistan Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif promising to stand by Iran.
Potential Scenarios and Future Risks
The Israel-Iran war may take many paths with serious implications. A constant increase in attacks may encourage other neighboring states to join it and this may cost the Middle Eastern world a broader war involving Lebanon, Syria and Yemen. Israel threatened to attack the Supreme Leader of Iran, Ayatollah Khamenei, and Iran is most likely to respond unprecedentedly to this act, and Iran may retaliate using chemical or nuclear weapons. In case there is international pressure then there might be a temporary ceasefire brought about but the long-term peace may not be there since decades of enmity exist.
Conclusion
The Israel-Iran war is not a regional conflict anymore but a universal security crisis. As the number of casualties rises, energy markets becomes volatile, and the threat of nuclear escalation gathers, the world has one of the most unsafe times in decades. The next several days will tell whether the diplomacy will have its way, or whether the Middle East will initiate an even more deadly conflict.
FAQs
The direct retaliation came because of direct warfare; Israel indulged its preemptive strike on Iranian nuclear installations after years of proxy war.
More than 248 people have been killed and the figures are climbing higher as attacks persist.
The US has not undertaken direct strikes against Iran though it supports Israel.
Experts are cautious that if Israel takes military action against the Iranian leadership, Iran may respond with an escalation of hostilities.
The evacuations are continuing; however, people are still stranded because airspace is closed and strikes are taking place.